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Quoting from Survivor Tocantins Episode 4: Trouble Ahead for the “Secret Alliance” and Most of the Women Vulnerable Pre-merge Boots Timbira: Errin (no alliances, 2nd weakest female), Sierra (weakest female, has hung out with Taj) & Brendan (has had the chance to ally with Taj twice). Jalapao: Taj (2nd weakest female, prone to emotional outbursts, outed as [...]... MORE


by Don Hart In this Survivor , there isn’t even a hint of a tribal reshuffling before merge time. Exile Dune seems to be the Tocantins’ way of mixing up the tribes. Just like a tribal mix-up, the new intertribal element of Exile Dune has changed the game. Those sent to Exile have a long time (it looks like close to 2 days) to bond with the enemy, and this could make them ... MORE

SurvivorWerds says:

Amazing analysis on the 4 way "secret alliance" and the women of Survivor Tocantins, check it!

In this Survivor, there isn't even a hint of a tribal reshuffling before merge time. Exile Dune seems to be the Tocantins' way of mixing up the tribes. Just like a tribal mix-up, the new intertribal element of Exile Dune has changed the game.

Those sent to Exile have a long time (it looks like close to 2 days) to bond with the enemy, and this could make them very dangerous to keep around into the merger. The best strategy may be to limit those on your tribe who can bond with the enemy tribe on Exile. Jalapao seems to have found that strategy. Only Taj from Jalapao has spent time on Exile, and if she seems untrustworthy, she can be disposed of.

If there is indeed no tribal mix-up before merge time (the best bet is that the merger will occur at 10 left) the tribes now have a choice at the next Tribal Council: either get rid of the weakest (the women) or the most disloyal (like the Exile traitors). We heard Stephen say something similar in a confessional.
The previews for next week's show signals that the alliance may be in big trouble, what do you think?

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